Brisbane v Richmond
Richmond +16.5 @1.86
Richmond have been very hot and cold heading into round 10, much due to the raft of injuries at Tigerland, but they notched a much needed win last weekend against the Giants off the back of a match-winning goal by Daniel Rioli. It was an impressive win after trailing by 28 points in the third-quarter, and showcased their system-based play once again and their ability to cover key exclusions.
The Lions have been in blistering form in the last five weeks, going 5-0, including an impressive 49 point win over Port Adelaide. Joe Daniher has been a very handy recruit, averaging 15 touches and 2 goals in his last three games. Jarryd Lyons also seems to have taken another step-up in his game in the Lions midfield, as this side has defied a slow start and currently sit in the top 4.
Brisbane have been by far the better team this season and deserve to be the favourites on their home deck, but the Tigers always step up for the big games and I think it will be a tight one.
Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Fremantle to win @ 1.81
An interesting matchup finish off Saturday footy, as the Swans will make the trip over to Optus stadium to take on the Dockers. Fremantle are 3-1 at Optus Stadium, with the sole loss coming at the hands of the Eagles, who themselves are 5-0 at the ground. They were valiant in their loss against the Bombers, looking like the better team for a majority of the matchup, as Brayshaw (33 disposals, 7 clearances) and Fyfe (28 disposals, 5 clearances) did their best in the middle, but they struggled to finish it off in front of goals kicking a final score of 8.13
The Swans were brought down to earth after their blistering 4-0 start to the season, conceding two losses in a row. However, they have recently regained their form (coincidently coinciding with the return of Hickey), winning two of their last three against the Cats and the Pies. They completely dominated the second-half against the pies, outscoring them by 5 goals.
The Swans are the better side in my opinion , but not by much. Home-ground advantage is a huge factor here and the Dockers should hold on.
Western Bulldogs v St Kilda
Western Bulldogs -24.5 @ 1.86
The Bulldogs perhaps had their best win of the season over the weekend, beating the Power at Adelaide Oval. The usual suspects in Macrae (32 disposals), Bontempelli (26 disposals, 2 goals) Treloar (26 disposals) and Daniel (26 disposals) were prolific, whilst Naughton (4 goals) combined with Weightman (first game of 2021, 3 goals) to kick a winning score.
The Saints were looking to make it 3-0 in the last three weeks, but they ultimately fell to the Cats who were simply the more accurate team on the night, as St Kilda struggled in front of goal booting 17 behinds from some relatively simple shots at times. Their midfield was solid, with Steele, Crouch and Ross all gathering plenty of the ball, but the sides execution ultimately let them down.
The Saints were unlucky over the weekend, but they come up against a very tough proposition facing the Bulldogs at Etihad, And they should cover the line comfortably at their home ground.