GWS v Essendon
Essendon +18.5 @ 1.86
The Giants have bounced back well after their loss against the Bulldogs, smashing the Crows by 67 points in their own home ground. Tim Taranto had an incredible game (35 disposals), Whitfield made a successful return (30 disposals), and key forwards in Hogan and Himmelberg combined for 7 goals.
The Bombers struggled to maintain their form against the Pies, falling in the last quarter against the Blues after getting within a kick. The Giants should win this game, but history says it will be a close one. Three of Essendon’s five losses have been 16 points or under (with the other two being 50-point blowouts against the Power and the Lions), and the last two games between the Giants and the Bombers have been decided by a kick or less. The line bet seems value in this instance.
Gold Coast v St Kilda
St Kilda to win @ 2.00
The Saints got back on the winners board over the weekend, knocking off the Hawks by 69 points, their greatest win of the season. The midfielders were on top in this game, with Zak Jones having one of the best games of his career, tallying 37 disposals, 2 goals and 7 clearances. Clark (26 disposals, 2 goals), Ross (29 disposals), Crouch (32 disposals) and Billings (32 disposals).
The Suns however had an impressive win of their own against the Pies at the G, one week after beating the Swans by 4 goals. Ellis (35 disposals), Miller (24 disposals) and Greenwood (26 disposals, 1 goal) were the major contributors, with young gun Corbett kicking 4 goals for the first time in his career.
This should be a tight matchup throughout, but I think that the Saints have been underwhelming thus far, and last week might have just been the boost they needed to get back on track.
Hawthorn v West Coast
West Coast Eagles -12.5 @ 1.91
The Hawks are struggling as of late, losing 5 of their last 6 games. They have shown signs of promise, but it is clear that this is a rebuilding year for Clarkson’s men. They were dominated in both contested and uncontested possession in their 67 point loss against the Saints, and conceded 12 more turnovers
The Eagles have had a solid start to the season currently sitting on a winning record of 4-3, with 3 of their wins happening in the last 5 games. They should comfortably win against this Hawks outfit, but something that isn’t in their favor is their away record, having not won a game outside of Perth with 7 rounds completed, but that is reflected in the odds, and I think they should have no problems notching their first win away from home and cover the line.