BBL10 Betting Preview – Week 5

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With last week’s predictions giving you a 211% return, watch closely over the next couple of weeks as we head into the last month of BBL10.  

Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder 

Sydney Thunder to win Head-to-Head @ $2.14 

Sydney Thunder has won 6 out of their last 7 matches, only narrowly losing to the Brisbane Heat, the form side of the competition. More impressively, in their last match, they pummeled the Hurricanes, keeping them to 128 runs off 20 overs, without spearhead bowler, Daniel Sams.  

Although the Scorchers have been back on the winner’s list, boasting 3 wins on the trot, the following key stats make me favour the Thunder heavily: the Thunder have 3 batsmen in the top 10 Top Scorer in BBL10, Scorchers have 0; Khawaja and Hales feature 3 times in the top 10 highest opening partnerships, Scorchers openers only once; the Thunder have 2 bowlers who feature in the top 10 most wickets taken, Scorchers only once with Richardson; most obviously, the Thunder are first, the Scorchers are seventh; lastly, Thunder have 5 from the last 6 head-to-head matches between these two sides. 

To think that the top side is going in as heavy underdogs baffles me, extreme value for this game. 

Sydney Thunder – Highest Opening Partnership @ $1.84 

If you’re bullish on the Thunder maintaining top spot, consider putting this tip in your multi this week to improve your winnings. 

Thunders openers, Khawaja and Hales, who are the 3rd and 10th top scorer, have had the highest opening partnership 4 out of the last 5 games this season, only losing to the Heat. If you haven’t been reading previous weeks predictions, the Heat are synonymous for taking early wickets and winning the highest opening partnership.  

Not only this, but the Scorchers bowlers struggled last time these two went head-to-head in Match 12, taking a measly 3 wickets. 

Sydney Sixers vs Brisbane Heat 

Brisbane Heat to win Head-to-Head @ $1.96 

Brisbane Heat has gone from strength to strength in recent weeks, knocking off the top 3 teams in the past 2 weeks. It should be at no surprise though, as the Heat has added 5 quality batsmen in recent days compared to the line-up they started the season with.  

The Sixers who are lacking form could still produce some magic with the talent they have on their list, however when you consider the fact that the combined T20 averages for the Heat top 7 batsmen is 196, and the Sixers is only 172, then I find much more value in the Heat for this blockbuster.  

The Heat have also gone into the last 5 games as underdogs, yet come out as winners in 4 of them, producing punters with a return of 400%+.  

Brisbane Heat – Highest Opening Partnership @ $1.85 

Two weeks ago, I wrote about how Brisbane’s bowlers had been eerily consistent getting a wicket on the 2nd ball of their first 3 matches. Since then, Xavier Bartlett has not let me down and produced a wicket on the 2nd ball in 2 out of the last 5 games since.  

Brisbane Heat has won the highest opening partnership in 4 of those 5 games as well, thanks to the addition of Chris Lynn. With the Heats openers averaging a 25 run stand before the fall of the first wicket, and their opponents averaging a miserable 8, I am excited to watch the Bash Brothers open on Sunday.  

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars 

Melbourne Stars to win Head-to-Head @ $1.78 

The fight for 4th and 5th spot is on for this game as both teams will look to make amends after their disappointing loss to the Renegades and Heat. This game has the potential to truly go both ways, with much of the outcome dependent on each teams stars, with the likes of Maxwell, Stoinis, Khan and Carey. 

The Strikers have been wildly inconsistent, bowling out the Renegades and Scorchers for under 111, and then losing to them only a few days later. Due to this and the fact that the Stars got unlucky with their loss to Heat, thanks to the interesting DLS score the Stars had to chase, at $1.78, more values lies with the Melbourne Stars. 

I will also enjoy watching Haris Rauf bowl in his second match this season, as he is in good form playing 22 T30 games in 2020 and averaging 13 last season.

Melbourne Stars Odd – Innings Runs Odd/Even @ $1.88 

Whether a teams total runs for their innings is odd or even seems like a 50/50 market to most, however, I can assure you that is not the case for the Melbourne Stars. 

Since their first match back in BBL1, the Melbourne Stars have made an odd score 63% of the time, much better than the 50% you were most likely expecting. Not only this but in recent time, the Stars have enjoyed making an odd score even more than previously, finishing 20 of their last 23 most recent matches with an odd score in BBL9 and 10.