Ben’s Best – 15th August 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

TATURA R1 #11 SILK JACKET

Silk Jacket loomed up in the straight like a big threat first up, but condition probably gave out late. Stable would have the horse fitter and hard to beat 2nd up here.  

TATURA R2 #2 SIMON SAYS

I liked the jump-out before the debut. He went around with some decent gallopers, including Knock Knock and Valentina Star and stuck on well enough after the line. He was well respected by the market there at Swan Hill but went terribly once he hit the straight. Happy to forgive one bad run.

TATURA R3 #11  RAAZOU   #12 NIGHT RAID

RAAZOU looks a nice jump and run type. Little break between jump-outs but won most recent. Heard the stable mention he goes fairly well on radio. NIGHT RAID ran well on debut and has been given plenty of time to improve. Looks to have come back well this preparation, going off the recent Caulfield jump-outs. #14 JACOB can run a place for exotics.

TATURA #2 COMPETITOR  #8  MISS MEILLAND

COMPETITOR ran well on debut when running 3rd. The 2nd placed horse Legend of Zorro has subsequently gone well. Repeat of that performance should see him in the finish. MISS MEILLAND ran well first up. Repeat of that effort would see her a danger and worth a saver.

RANDWICK R4 #5 QUATUM  $4.30  ROUGHIE #8 TWICE AS SPECIAL $32.00

QUATUM was impressive when winning on debut. He was trialling up very well and looks to have a good cruising speed. The 2nd placed horse Rathvilly Miss had no weight on her back that day and has subsequently bolted in today. TWICE AS SPECIAL is one I have been following for some time. I suspect she may have just needed time to mature and strengthen up and recently resumed in a nice trial with some good sprinters. #4 HULK has a poor winning record, but he looks over the odds to me and the current fav Torun looks very short.

RANDWICK R7 #2 NORTH PACIFIC $2.30

Up against another smart one called Smart Image but may be a touch better. Won by a good margin first up and did so in good time. Should be winning some good races this preparation.

CAULFIELD R5 #5  RANTING $5.20 ROUGHIE   #9 KEEP ON FIGHTING $53.00

Hydro Star was impressive on debut but leaning the way of these two at bigger odds. Backed or had a play on Ranting during his first preparation after he was catching my eye at the jump-outs. The 3rd at Morphettville was disappointing but the connections have mentioned he has matured physically during the spell. #9 KEEP ON FIGHTING big ask but big odds and with natural improvement is worth something each way.

CAULFIELD R6 #7 FRESH $6.40

Looked a really nice two-year-old. Unfortunately, she had enough by the time the Blue Diamond Prelude came around and was put in the spelling paddock immediately after a disappointing effort. The spell looks to have done her well and looks ready for a good run fresh after some jump-outs.

CASINO R1 #9 SWATCH   #8  LUCKY CHOICE

Trialled up well finishing 3rd behind Tivoli Street and Gillick’s Way. LUCKY CHOICE trialled well enough last preparation beating Removal, can improve 2nd up on a drier track. #4 TOUGH CASE in exotics.

NARRANDERA R1 #8  ROCK ‘N’ TORI $4.05

Will really appreciate the step up in distance here. Bumps into some very average gallopers with all due respect to connections. Should be winning this. Small saver on #2 KAH TEE UH who caught my eye with a nice action at the trials. Can improve with some gear changes in a weak race.

KEMBLA GRANGE R1 #1 ABSOLUTE LEGEND $2.40

Not sure if the meeting is going ahead but if it does, he should be hard to beat. I sent him out as an early first starter tip after some nice trials when on debut. If they do not win on debut, they usually win 2nd start, going off the recent record. #3 DISENGAGE would not surprise at odds if looking to play exotics.

KEMBLA GRANGE R3 #11 FREETHINKER $18.80

Ran ok on debut behind the handy Supreme Idea. Bit disappointing last time out but Blinkers go on, so worth another chance.