Ben’s Best – 14th August 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

GOULBURN R5 #7  RATHVILLY MISS $1.45

Ran 2nd behind a handy one last start. Up in distance suits and should be hitting the line hard and winning the maiden here.

GEELONG R1 #4  MAYSHESTAR  $7.10 #13  NIGHT RAID $5.10

Mayshestar looked to have some ability winning a jump-out against Riverina Storm and Icantoo. Both those gallopers have already won a race. She then travelled well enough in the next jump-out behind Mrs Beckham and was alongside Personal. Should be right in the finish. The other horse that looks better than maiden grade is NIGHT RAID ran well on debut and has been given plenty of time to improve. Looks to have come back well this preparation, going off the recent Caulfield jump-outs.

GEELONG R3 #1  BERMADEZ $2.55 BEST BET

Been waiting for this gelding to make his debut for some time now. He first caught the eye when he was unnamed and really hit the line well in a Flemington jump-out. For some reason he had a break between jump-outs but recently returned with a jump-out against some quality gallopers, including Hard Landing. I have had a good bet. Danger looks #11 VITOSHA who has jumped out nicely, finishing behind Chevychaser, but alongside Vapid and Chaska. Should improve up in distance. #10 PURE PURGATORY will be including in exotics.

GEELONG R4 #5 STRADARI $11.40

I think the market has missed this one. He looked ok hitting the line in the official trial at Cranbourne. The first two horses over the line in that trial have both won. Recent jump-out was good enough for a maiden and should be fit enough on debut.

GEELONG R5 #6 JOCAT $5.10

Rubbed up punters the wrong way when losing first up as short fav. Jump-out this preparation was too good to ignore, matching motors with Bon’s Away and No Frontiers. Getting decent odds this time for a horse who should be too good for a maiden. Next Best #4 GIOTTINO looks to have some ability.

GEELONG R6 #3 CARNAMAH $3.30

A promising gelding who went from a maiden win into town. Will find this much easier, stepping back to benchmark 64 grade.

GEELONG R7 #9 TERRACOTTA $4.45  ROUGHIE  #5 RUDY RUDE $29.50

Impressive winner when making ground from the back at Matamata. Looks to have a touch of class. RUDY RUDE did have a good run at Hamilton but did beat a few subsequent winners. Given plenty of time to improve since the poor run at Wangaratta and is lightly raced.

GEELONG R9 #7 RAGNARS BRIDE $5.60

Beaten by Rich Hips last preparation. Then beat Look Sharpish who goes well. Recent jump-out suggest ready to take the next step, matching motors with Diamond Effort. Next Best #4 LITTLE MERMAID will win more races.

ROUGHIE

MUSWELLBROOK R1 #6 SWAYSIR $26.50

Last chance. Caught my eye in a few trials but has been a little bit disappointing race day. Been ridden a bit negative, if given a more positive ride I could see him improve a lot and the step up in distance should help.

MUSWELLBROOK R4 #1 RATHVILLY MISS $2.30

Not sure which way they will go. Hopefully, she lines up here though at the bigger odds. Can win for the same reasons outlined earlier and beat the fav.

MUSWELLBROOK R5 #6 DANCING DOLLAR $7.50

Still lightly raced and improving. The sixth placed horse at Tamworth has subsequently come out and franked the form by bolting in by 5L.