Ben’s Best – 17th July 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

DUBBO R2 #6 POSTER MAN $8.10

He finds a winnable race here. Two starts ago at Scone he finished behind Hustled and Entreat, both those gallopers have subsequently won and franked the form. Last start he went over the line with Staremm who came out yesterday and won. Gets some weight relief after carrying 59kg last start.

DUBBO R4 #12  YACAABA $41.00

Two starts ago at Muswellbrook she finished alongside Hustled. That galloper has since won his past two starts. There were a few excuses last start when she looked to over race a bit early and covered a bit of extra ground. Worth a couple dollars each way again at the big odds. Next best #11 Wild Rocket.

TAREE R1 #1 SAQUON $2.05

The form from both his race starts have been franked. On debut he finished behind Brutality and Stormy Rock, both those gallopers have subsequently broken their maiden status. At Scone he beat home Underboss who has since won a race and he since has trialled up well against some well performed horses.

TAREE R3 #3  KING CONI $2.10

This gelding has trialled up well on a few occasions. He went to the line under his own steam at Scone back in May and has returned well winning a trial at Scone recently. The 3rd placed horse in that recent trial, Stashes has subsequently run well, only beaten 1.65L behind a few that go okay. Next best at odds #14 HAPPY SOCKS could improve second up.

GEELONG R1 #5 SOBRIETY $10.20

This colt was ok late in a strong race at Caulfield. The 2nd placed horse Clean Machine goes well and the 3rd placed horse Savannah Cloud run well again when stepping out at Flemington. With natural improvement he should be competitive here.

GEELONG R2 #4  SAW THAT COMING  $32.00 #6 AUTUMN HOUSE $11.20

I think there is a few chances here but went with these two that look some value. I thought SAW THAT COMING jumped out well enough recently at Flemington when going around with a few older gallopers that have won races, including Tignanello and Rugged Roy. AUTUMN HOUSE jumped out well before the debut at Bendigo and then did not have much luck there. She was held up in the straight in tough conditions and can improve sharply here. No knock on Blondeau and Sunshines who go into Tri and F4’s but just looking for the eachway odds.

GEELONG R3 #7 SIZZLING NYMPH $21.50

Looked a chance when first up for the new stable but was entitled to feel the pinch late after covering ground with no cover. Should be a chance again at each way odds in a race that does not look to have any stars.

GEELONG R5 #4 LUNCHTIME RED $3.80  ROUGHIE #8 MAKE IT LAST $16.80

This son of Redwood looks to have some ability. He was jumping out well before his debut and then ran into American Whiskey. He showed improvement at his second start and was narrowly beaten by Miltida, which is a filly that looks to have above average ability too. He should run a big race here if Rodd can slot in with cover from the wide barrier. #8 MAKE IT LAST could run a race on debut after a decent Cranbourne jump-out. She was with Oh Cecilia after the winning post and that mare has already proven better than maiden grade.

GEELONG R6 #14  GREAT AMBITION $23.50

This filly broke through at Cranbourne two starts ago and ran good time for that class in doing so. She then contested a strong race at Caulfield and can be forgiven for not figuring there. She did not have the best of luck last start at Ballarat when covering ground and not getting any cover, the third placed horse Sunset Eagle has subsequently won a benchmark 64.