Ben’s Best – 10th July 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

GOULBURN R3 #6   RODRICK’S SECRET $1.78

This gelding has been building up to a win. He was only beaten 2.15L by Le Gai Soleil at Canberra, that filly went on to win her next two starts including a benchmark 70. He was then beaten less than a length by Chief Geronimo, who ran well again when stepping up in grade. Should go close.

SCONE R1 #3  DANCING DOLLAR $2.45

This filly has shown good ability at the trials. There have been a few subsequent winners from her race at Gosford. She was then inconvenienced in the late stages of the race at Kembla Grange and should have finished closer to some handy types, including Opacity and Celandine. She has been given time to mature and has trialled up well again under a hold. #1 YOU RANG is the obvious danger and I would be surprised if they do not run the quinella.

SCONE R2 #7 ANANAGRAM $4.75  #6 SHUKKAS $15.20

I thought Ananagram trialled well enough at Scone when finishing 2nd behind Discompose. I liked how he went with the older galloper Blazing Tycoon after the winning post, suggesting he should get over some distance. The first up run had some merit, when covering ground out wide but still battled on. I will be having a couple dollars on Shukkas again. The race at Scone rated very well on the clock for a maiden and the blinkers/tongue tie go on for the first time. No knock on Be Brilliant who has shown ability at the jump-outs when in Victoria, can include her in exotics but can not back her at those odds.

SCONE R6 #5  DON’TFORGETMONICA $2.65

This filly trialled well at Scone when running 3rd behind Disobedient. The 2nd placed horse Remlaps Gem has subsequently won on debut, beating Toto. This filly looked to travel much better than Remlaps Gem in that trial. Contango finished 7L behind the winner and has since won. She ran well on debut at Scone when finishing 3rd behind the speedy Cecilia, the 2nd placed horse Yulong Base has franked the form by winning since. Looks one of the better bets of the day. #2 Easy Campese next best, comes out of a decent form race and #14 Tariff Trump worth including in exotics at odds.

PAKENHAM R1 #2  LOVING GRACIE $4.25

Giving the new kid on the block LOVING GRACIE a good chance to win on debut here, she contested a pretty good trial back in March. Knowles won the trial and she crossed the line with The Mobot who goes fairly well. She looks to be still going well, winning a recent jump-out at Pakenham on the synthetic in good time.

PAKENHAM R2 #5  POWERFUL FLYER $14.40  #14  PRINCE HEARTFORD $8.10

Powerful Flyer has only put in one bad run and that was last start. He pulled up with a poor recovery, so I have to be forgiving. Back in distance looks ideal with him drawn inside, Walker can hopefully roll forward and he should give a good kick in the straight. PRINCE HEARTFORD record reads poor with the six starts and no placings, but he ran around in some decent maidens last preparation. The most recent start before changing stables, he dropped out in the straight but was entitled to be weak late, after setting a fast-early tempo. He looks to be in good order if the recent Mornington jump-out is any guide, he led and looked strong through the line, beating Catadude who has subsequently ran 2nd in a nice maiden. Just need him to jump today. If wanting to include some more roughies for exotics, #9 Bossy Dame and #13 Galaxy Turf.

ROUGHIE

PAKENHAM R3 #14  ISOLATING $35.00

Jumped out ok before the debut, beating home High Hopes over 1000m. I thought the run at Ballarat had some merit, she was restrained mid-race and found herself at the tail of the field when they straightened. She worked home well enough to suggest she can improve here at odds. I will also be having something small on #1 Amusing Magnus.

PAKENHAM R4 #4 GOOD AND PROPER $6.60

I really liked her jump-out at Moonee Valley when she looked strong late against some nice opposition. Hypersonic was there and has subsequently bolted in on debut. I think the debut at Werribee was a bit better than it looked. The winner has won again when stepping up in grade and the 5th placed horse Astrid’s Comet went well the other day. #9 PURE PURGATORY can definitely win, I tipped her as a chance on debut after looking good in a few trials and jump-outs, just went the way of Good and Proper at the bigger/each way odds. Including #2 FAIRY DELL in some exotics.

PAKENHAM R6 #4 CATADUDE $2.70

I know they say its hard to go from a maiden win into higher grade, but I think it is fine when they show some ability. He looks progressive and this is only a benchmark 58.

WANGANUI R9  #16  CARAMEL POPCORN $4.25

Going very wide here. I do not know a thing about the other runners, but I do know this filly jumped out well against older stayers when under the care of Archie Alexander in Australia.