Ben’s Best – 8th July 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

SANDOWN R2 #12  YULONG ISLAND $5.40

Jumped out well before the debut 3rd at Moonee Valley. Tagaloa won that race at the Valley and went on to win the group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes. He was a bit disappointing first up at Caulfield, but I am sure he will take a lot of benefit from the run fitness wise and he gets a 1.5kg drop in weight. #11 TURQUOISE HOPE was expected to go much better on debut by the market and the trainer seemed fairly confident pre-race, he may have bumped into a real smarty and he could improve on the turf.   

SANDOWN R3 #10  SACER VATES $19.20

Very open race in my opinion. I think Sacer Vates has been improving with each run and has been contesting some decent maidens. He won well last start when ridden positively and went forward and was able to hold off the opposition. If they do the same here, he could give a sight at odds. No surprise to see Heyington Station knock me off now that I have dropped off ha-ha and #13 Refreshed looks to have come back in decent order and will be fitter third up.

GRAFTON R1 #5  MISS GOODNIGHT $16.00

Her recent form does not read well but if she returns here and shows anything near her best, she looks over the odds to me. When she won her maiden at Hawkesbury, she beat five subsequent winners and won in good time for that class. Has no weight on her back and comes here with no trial.

GRAFTON R4 #8  MARSHALL DILLON  $3.45  #15 HAPPY SOCKS $71.00

Marshall Dillon was trialling well before the debut. He beat stablemate Chazelles who has won three races. He was not beaten far there at Casino and the blinkers go on. HAPPY SOCKS has always shown something when jumping out in Victoria and could go forward and give a sight at big odds.

WARWICK FARM R1 #7 SMART IMAGE $4.85

Found it a bit difficult to split Smart Image and Centimental but went with the first starter. I liked the way he loomed up at the Randwick trials when beating Yangarra Rose, that filly has subsequently been to the races and was narrowly defeated when running 2nd. Centimental brings strong form lines and did hit the line well in latest trial.

WARWICK FARM R2 #3  KAPTIVE $1.92

If you liked the win of Kingsheir yesterday, I think this guy goes the same if not better. He looked be bolting in the first trial on the heavy track. He loomed up to finish 2nd behind the promising Green Kudos and Kingsheir was back in 3rd place. The most recent trial he was untested again. Looks a nice horse and is my best for the day.

WARWICK FARM R3 #8  PAPRENA $13.20

I found her when she was jumping out in Victoria well but then she raced poorly on debut and was found to be lame. She has subsequently been transferred to NSW and won impressively first up and I think she has to be a chance again at good each way odds.

WARWICK FARM R6 #11 MILUNKA $10.80

She has been disappointing at her latest two starts but she was found to be lame on both occasions. I have always thought she has a fair amount of ability and can not let her go around at these odds without having something each way.