Ben’s Best – 2nd July 2020

No comments

Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

HAWKESBURY R1 #1 GALLANT RUN $3.45

He has been running well just can not seem to break through. The last start at Hawkesbury when he ran 2nd behind Faraway Jewel rated well on the clock for a maiden and if he runs up to that effort, he will be hard to beat. Drawing barrier 1 should enable him to find the front without using up too much gas. Danger looks to be #2 HAUNTING SPIRIT, has always shown some ability but does not have a great record being a 18 start maiden. A few gear changes could be the key and may race better fresh.

HAWKESBURY R3 #6     DISENGAGE $5.10

This filly’s only race start was in a pretty good maiden. The form has been franked with a handful of runners going on to win races. She has been given plenty of time to improve since that debut and looks to have returned in good order, winning a trial, and showing good natural speed. If she can roll forward and lead, she should take some running down over the 1000m.

HAWKESBURY R4  #2 MAGIC RULER $6.10

I have been looking forward to watching this two-year-old colt debut. I thought he showed a fair amount of ability when he was able to beat a few older stablemates in a trial at Murwillumbah. The 3rd placed horse was Chazelles, she is a four-year-old mare who has won three races. He then went to a Rosehill trial and went to the line under his own steam. My biggest bet of the day is on him. Saving on #7 BOURBON ROSE, had horses in front of her and looked to find the line well late when in some clear air at most recent start.

CRANBOURNE R1 #3  KHALEEJ  $10.00  #10    ESTA LA ROCA  $6.20

I liked the jump-out from KHALEEJ at Mornington back in May. He looked to do everything under his own steam behind State of Class. That galloper has subsequently resumed with a big finish to win second up in a benchmark 58. ESTA LA ROCA looked to move well in a recent jump-out at Caulfield. She was doing it under her own steam while there was a few under riding.

CRANBOURNE R2  #2  DUNVEGAN  $5.30 #1 ADDRESS MELBOURNE $10.20

He looked to be under a good hold from the jockey in a Mornington jump-out back in early June. He did look to move well though once let to stride out in the home straight. He has also hit the line well enough in most recent jump-out to suggest he could run a nice race on debut.  This grey colt can also run a nice race on debut here, he went to the line with La Zola in a recent Cranbourne jump-out and Takatoka who has subsequently ran well in maiden grade.

CRANBOURNE R3 #3  POWERFUL FLYER  $9.20 #11 KUMO SUN $4.65

I was keen on KUMO SUN when she was resuming at Geelong. I thought her jump-outs were good enough to see her winning first up but the trainer did mention pre-race she would most likely need the run. She has been given time to improve fitness wise since and should be hard to beat second up here. Not letting POWERFUL FLYER go around without having something on. He had to use up a fair amount of gas last start to find the front but still fought on well and was not beaten far. The 3rd placed horse has won since and Divine Honours has subsequently bolted in by 3.5L.

CRANBOURNE R4 #10  RONNANI  $6.60 #4  MAGNUS QUE CEE $26.50

RONNANI looked to be working up to a win before a disappointing run last start. Prepared to forgive that run and give her another chance here after a freshen up and the blinkers going on. MAGNUS QUE CEE comes out of the same race as Powerful Flyer so we should get a good guide there. He took a while to get going there on debut but did look ok through the line and winkers may sharpen him up. No shock to see Ski Zoom win but I have run out of patience, she was beat by one that is fairly average last start.

ROUGHIES

HAWKESBURY R2 #7 GOLDEN ECLIPSE $81.00

I will be having something very small on this mare just in case the blinkers going on sharpen her up. Her first couple of trials before her debut were against horses better than maiden grade and she was far from disgraced. Fair to say she has not shown much since but will not hurt to have a couple dollars on in case the blinkers do the job.

CRANBOURNE R7 #8  MAKE IT COUNT $8.80

I think he goes better in the wet which he finds here. Gets some weight off from the first up run and can give them something to catch if they go forward.