By Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.
Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.
SCONE R2 #1 CONTANGO $4.30
I thought he would have won a maiden by now but maybe a change of stables can switch him on. He has contested some races that have rated well on the clock for that class and has been around the mark, running a few placings and not beaten far. This does not look a strong race.
SCONE R5 #2 ATKINSON $2.25
He could not have been more impressive when winning on debut. He showed a good kick and was holding the opposition on the line and should handle the step up to the 900m with ease. That race rated very well on the clock for a maiden and he has no weight on his back here. Danger is #3 Disobedient, recent trial was decent and if Contango goes well, her chances look even stronger.
SWAN HILL R1 #7 BIG BOY’S GIRL $3.35
This filly won a trial last year, beating St Edward’s Crown and Namimo. Both those gallopers have won a race in town. The recent jump-out at Bendigo was good beating Not Alone, that galloper recently won a benchmark 64 at Ballarat. The trainer spoke on radio this morning and said he expected her to open a bit shorter in the market and thinks she should run well. #1 ARACHNATTACK has stung me a few times but looks the danger if Big Boy’s Girl is disappointing. I have had a saver on the #1.
SWAN HILL R2 #4 EXCUSES EXCUSES $3.10
I liked the jump-out at Stawell last year. He matched motors with Soul Star there late and put a margin on that galloper after the winning post. Soul Star has shown good ability throughout her career and most recently was only beaten, 1.9L in benchmark 70 grade. #5 FARQUHARSON this gelding has an interesting name but more importantly, looks to have returned in better order. He has travelled well in recent Ballarat Synthetic jump-outs and looks the danger. My concern is the opposition in those jump-outs may not be going that well, so investing more on the #4 and very small on the #5.
