Ben’s Best – 21st June 2020

No comments

Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

WERRIBEE R1 #7   GOOD AND PROPER $3.65

Happy to give the first starter a chance here. She looks to have taken good improvement from her first jump-out last year into her second jump-out recently at Moonee Valley. I liked how she looked strong late running past a few horses that have shown some ability, including Dalswinton who is a winner of three races. #3 NASUKAWA had a few chances now but will knock off a maiden soon and goes in all exotics. #5 ASTRID’S COMET gave her a little chance on debut at odds after she went with Criminologist in a recent jump-out. She did not have the best of luck at Wangaratta and was stuck wide for the trip and entitled to feel the pinch late. I will be having something small on her eachway and including in exotics. I will also be including #13 Cheval De Frise in Tri and F4’s.

WERRIBEE R2 #5  NOBLE CLASS $9.70

I think the maiden he contested last start looks stronger than this field today. I have given him a few chances to break through now, but he was stuck on the inside at Bendigo and there appeared to be a bit of kick back which could not have been a big help for those wanting to run on. The winner Horowitz has since run well, running 2nd when stepping up in grade.

BENDIGO R1 #3  NARVAEZ $2.60

I was very keen on his chances last start when he went to Hawkesbury. I thought the Tommy Gold form would hold up strong and he had shown ability around some nice horses in trials. Fair to say he was disappointing to the eye, especially if you had something on but I have to forgive him for one bad run, he may not have appreciated taking up the lead and can improve when ridden cold.

ROUGHIE

BENDIGO R2 #14  GUNSABLAZIN’ $25.50

He made a bit of ground late down the outside at Hamilton, on a day that was favouring horses on the rail. He then found the line well again when stepping up the 1400m at Casterton. The rise in distance again looks suitable and I think he is just starting to work out what the racing is all about.

BENDIGO R3 #1   AMERICAN WHISKEY $2.10 #7  LUNCHTIME RED $8.90

I had been waiting for this colt to debut for a while. He had trialled well in NSW and put together a few nice jump-outs against quality opposition at Flemington. Unfortunately, I think the overs god thought he would step in after some punters had snapped up $7 + and he was backed into the $2.90 equal fav. He also butchered the start which did not help and was slightly held up at the top of the straight. If he does not butcher, the start today he should be very hard to beat. #7 LUNCHTIME RED has jumped out well, he was not far off Silent Command in one Bendigo heat and managed to win the most recent jump-out when getting over the top of River House and Thunderbolt Two. He looks to have a nice action and no doubt will win a maiden soon. Next Best #9 Samurai Moon looks to have improved since his debut.

BENDIGO R6 #6  ROGER’S DAY $6.90

I thought he was a chance in a hot benchmark 64 at Mornington last start. He got a bit worked up pre-race there and sounds like a bit of a handful after hearing the trainer speak. He beat Overkill on debut who went on to frank the form by winning his next three starts. The earmuffs go on and we can forgive him for one bad run. Worth watching the mounting yard coverage to see if he settles better today.

WAGGA R2 #2 ALLOUT STROPIE $10.60

I thought he looked a chance last start when looming up to the leaders on the turn. It was only his second start and first go at the 1400m so fitness might have been an issue late. Staying at the same distance here looks a tick and this is not the strongest maiden.

INTERNATIONAL

SHA TIN R11 #7 EXCEPTIONAL NICE $21.00

Formally known as Talking Nice when he won on debut in Australia. He beat a few subsequent winners there at Seymour, including the 2nd placed horse Sweeping the Board, 3rd placed horse Beauty Supreme, 4th placed horse Elegant Tycoon and Bumper Blast who won a handy race at Flemington. The recent trial at Sha Tin looked good enough to suggest he is going well, doing everything under his own steam.