Ben’s Best – 20th June 2020

No comments

Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

DONALD R1 #1 AEECEE MILLIONS $1.74

This colt is on debut here, but he has shown enough at the jump-outs and trials to be competitive. Last year he trialled at Cranbourne and was not asked for much of an effort when running 2nd behind the unraced Clinched. Behind them was Flinders River and Coup De Tonnerre, both those gallopers have been to the races and won. He recently jumped out well at Caulfield, looking and sharp and doing everything under his own steam. I usually find the horses from this stable race better than they do jump-out, so he should go very well.

DONALD R2 #6  UNCLE RAGSY $7.90

I tipped him on debut after he caught my eye winning a Ballarat jump-out. He beat Pelonomena and Carnamah on that occasion and the latter has since run well on debut, running 2nd. This guy did not have the best of luck here at Donald last start, he was held up slightly when they entered the straight and was unable to build momentum when he needed too. The winner Renouf had form around group 3 winner How Womantic and this guy should improve as he steps up in distance.

DONALD R3 #1  CATEGORY FIVE $2.05

I think he ran well enough first up to be the one to beat here. He crossed the line there at Bendigo with Earl of Kendal, that galloper has subsequently won a maiden by 2L. This looks a much easier maiden and he will be fitter second up.

NEWCASTLE R5 #1  GARRISON  $2.75  #4  ROYAL MARINE $2.75

I am a bit filthy these two have lined up against each other. I have been waiting for both to resume so I could back them. Garrison has looked good at the trials, finishing 3rd behind Lost and Running who has since won impressively in benchmark 70 grade by over 3L. ROYAL MARINE has looked equally impressive at the trials, recently beating Lewis who has since won a benchmark 70 race at Warwick Farm. Looks like the gelding operation and blinkers being added have switched him on. I think we can make a dollar by playing those two in exotics and including #3 Oakfield Hiawatha in wider exotics, he recently beat Manhattan Mist in a trial, he is much better than maiden grade. Quinella – EX – TRI ( 1,3,4 ).

MORPHETTVILLE

R1 #3  SUNSHINES $2.55

This two-year-old filly looks to have retuned in good order. She ran 2nd to Standoff when racing up the Flemington straight for the first time. Beating home Zesty Belle who has had a bit of a wrap on her. The race rated fairly well on the clock for that class and she should be in the finish again.

MORPHETTVILLE R3  #7  BORN TO PLAY $3.30

Small investment here compared to other bets. She showed a bit of ability in my opinion when trialling under the care of Waller. Was given a quiet time in recent Gawler jump-out and the tongue tie goes on for the first time.

MORPHETTVILLE  R4 #2  CRACKSMAN $3.35

I thought he hit the line super first up off a long break. He just failed to nab Blenders Edition, that galloper had the advantage of a few runs under the belt. He should take good improvement fitness wise from that run and if there is good pace on, I expect him to be hitting the line hard.

FLEMINGTON R2 #3  CHERRY TORTONI $3.55

He should be very hard to beat again. He sat wide on debut but just proved too good when letting down in the straight winning by 1.5L. The form from the race has been franked with the 5th placed Saltpeter winning his next start by 2L and 8th placed Mystique Falcon winning her next start. I think Cherry would have improved from that run and is one of the better bets for the day. If you like to play exotics, include #1 Chequerboard looks a horse who just loves to win, if there is a fight on she will keep kicking.