Ben’s Best – 7th May 2020

No comments

Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

Kembla Grange  R3  #8  Ocala $19.20

This filly still looks big odds to me. She was not the best away from the barriers in her trial but was still in touch with the leader as they approached the turn and was being restrained by Travis Wolfgram. When they entered the straight he got her in the clear off heels and gave her a few niggles so she would find the line and she ran 2nd to Belle of Cadiz, a four-year-old mare who has already won two races. Back in 3rd was Leg Work who has subsequently bolted in by 3L winning a benchmark 58 at Wagga. The one trial is not usually the best recipe, but I have a lot of respect for the trainer, he definitely knows how to train a two-year-old.

Kembla Grange  R4 #6    Rebel Bro $3.75

Confident this guy can breakthrough today. The trial at Warwick Farm when he finished 5th behind the speedy Kylease suggested he would be extremely hard to beat in any maiden he went to and his run at Nowra was great. Unfortunately for those who backed him that day and connections, he got shuffled back on the fence that day and once he got into the clear, the leader and winner, Blueant had snuck a break. I still thought Rebel Bro really attacked the line and Blueant has subsequently ran 2nd only collared late at his next start, up in grade. The big long straight is also an advantage, gives him plenty of time to wind up.

Werribee R1 #9  Beerzinthesun $4.60

I posted this filly’s jump-out comments up on twitter yesterday and she has been very well backed. She opened $30 in some places and now into $5. Her first trial was back in March last year, when unnamed and I marked her down as one to follow. I liked that she was strong late in that Caulfield jump-out and finished alongside Golden Gorge who has had a wrap on him since his debut win. The next jump-out she was in front of Score at the end, Score has subsequently won a benchmark 78 at Caulfield. The jump-outs this preparation have been less eye-catching, but they have been against open class gallopers. Will also be betting on #2 Midships, been with this gelding every start after some good trials. Genuine excuse last start after bleeding from one nostril.

Werribee R9  #16   Dee Keepa $7.10

This former NZ galloper looks to have a bit of class. She was very unlucky when running 2nd  to Craftyaffair at New Plymouth raceway back in November, last year. She was stuck behind a wall of horses in the straight but did show a good turn of foot when getting a split late. She then won her maiden impressively the next start by a few lengths and had something still in hand. Her recent jump-outs suggest she in good order since joining the Lindsey Smith stable and will be worth following her as she steps up in trip. The stable is also in form after cleaning up at Warrnambool yesterday.