Ben’s Best – 1st May 2020

No comments

Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

Cranbourne R3  #4 Five Spins $6.10

I was keen on this filly when she was having her debut at Cranbourne. She had jumped out well on a few occasions at Caulfield going into that race. She held firm in the market pre-race to suggest there was confidence she would run well, and the trainer seemed optimistic of a good showing when interviewed just before they jumped. Unfortunately, her chances were all over when she jumped from the outside barrier and was caught 4 wide no cover. No doubt she will take improvement from that run and hopefully get a change of luck here.

Cranbourne R4 #9   Ronnani $8.60

Bit filthy with myself that I missed the $50’s that this filly opened, obviously with a few deductions. Her form from up north reads extremely poor on paper. She finished last on debut and then ran 8th of nine 2nd up but she did have excuses. Her racing manners have been very bad on both occasions, continuing to race ungenerously and throw her head around for some distance. She looks to have appreciated the trip down to Victoria if her jump-outs are any guide. The first jump-out she went over the line with her stablemate Top Pins, who has subsequently won.  The latest jump-out she never looked to get out of first gear but still made good ground after the winning post.

Cranbourne R8 #9  Vantastic $5.20

This gelding finally broke through for a maiden win last start. He was bolting on the turn but had no where to go, but when the gap finally came, I thought he showed a good turn of foot to sprint and win quite comfortably in the end. The form from that race has been franked with the 3rd placed horse Vain Tiger subsequently winning his maiden at Swan Hill. I think the step up to the 1600m looks ideal after the way he joined in last start under his own steam and he looked to appreciate the heavy track last start.

Roughies

Wagga R6 #14  Louis the Great $89.00

Bit of a throw at the stumps here at big odds. He caught my eye when he resumed this preparation with a trial win, beating an older mare called Via Condotti. He then went to Nowra on debut and missed the start and never looked likely after that, dropping out badly in the straight. The second start was more encouraging, he was away better from the gates and sat in a handy position. I thought he battled on ok in the straight and the first two over the line look like they may be progressive. He drops 3.5 kg for this and if he can take the same improvement, he did from his first run into his second, he can run a cheeky race at odds.

Cranbourne R5 #2 Make It Count $17.80

This Snitzel gelding is coming off a long spell but he does have talent. His record reads well with three wins from only six starts. He can go well fresh and looks to enjoy the wet tracks, with two wins on soft ground and a win on heavy. The claim from Laura Lafferty will help and he looks way over the odds to me at $17+.