Ben’s Best – 19th April 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

Terang R2 #12  Tralee Rose $2.00

Third time lucky surely for this filly. She was only beaten 2.1L on debut in a maiden that rated well on the clock. Rising Archie who finished back in 7th, 5L away, won his maiden yesterday at Ararat. Second start she stepped up to the 1600m at Bendigo and made things difficult early by missing the start again. She then took a while to warm up in the straight but looked to really attack the line the last 100m but just fell short of catching the winner. There is every indication she will eat up the 1850m and this looks the easiest maiden she has contested so far. Today should be the day.

Wagga R3 #6 Fat Gecko $13.80   #9 Physcoa  $11.40   #10 Rock ‘N’ Tori $18.80

I’m backing three at odds here. Fat Gecko, I thought this interestingly named gelding trialled well enough in two open trials to be a chance on debut. He then went to Queanbeyan and was slightly disappointing running 5th after being well backed late. I must forgive the run though, as he was three wide with no cover and was entitled to drop out. #9 Physcoa, another I thought had trialled well before going into the debut at Canberra. She had a very quiet time in the open-trial and was given plenty of time to improve from that trial, before the debut. The money came late to suggest she was going to run a good race, but she was disappointing, weakening in the straight after leading. I’m forgiving that run as she may not have appreciated the heavy conditions. Lastly, #10 Rock ‘N’ Tori, made some ground from the rear in her trial after missing the start. Levelling up to the winner, Enzed Beer after the winning post. If you like playing Trifecta’s and F4 include, #14 Soomayya, no trial vision on NSW website and kept cutting out on Albury facebook page, hard to get a guide. #5 Nuremburg Castle hasn’t been seen since running 2nd in a trial back in July last year. Could have been a set-up to get bigger odds.

Gawler R2 #5 Tullys Gold $7.40

I thought the latest jump-out at Morphettville was good. The speedy Seemingly Discreet hit the ground running and led the jump-out. This gelding made good ground late though, to cut the margin down to only a few lengths. Seemingly Discreet has subsequently won a benchmark 72 at Morphettville following that jump-out. Finishing alongside Tullys Gold in that jump-out was La Richesse and Stan the Caddy, both have already proven better than maiden grade. The suggested bet would be to go eachway as the winner of his latest trial, #7 Four of a Kind lines up here and looked slightly better.