Ben’s Best – 12th April 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing

Moruya R1 #9 Chix on Fire $8.50

This filly first caught my eye when she went around in an open trial at Queanbeyan. She went to the front in the trial and was only overtaken late when Girls Are Ready and Redicon were asked for an effort. Both those gallopers had proven better than maiden grade and Redicon has subsequently won a class 1. Her effort on debut was sound but she bumped into Shores of Avalon, a filly who was on the way up and has since notched up another two wins. At her second start she over raced and was equal leader before dropping out in the straight. I’m forgiving that run, the pace early was fast, and the other leader fell in a hole too.  The latest run was much better, she only found one better and beat home Riverina Demand who has since won, beating a promising field.

Stawell R3 #11 Great Ambition $2.65

It has been a bit torturous following this horse but to say she has her hoof on the till is an understatement. First up this preparation she made good ground to run 3rd over the unsuitable 1200m. After a bit of a freshen up, she ran 2nd to Night Passage and was absolutely eating up the ground late over the 1469m. Back in 5th place was Fontein Diamond, she subsequently won her next start by 2.5L. She took up the lead last start and fought on well to be only collared on the line, which was a bit painful for anyone that was on again. Now that she has the run over the 1600m under the belt she should be hard to beat 4th up now, reaching peak fitness.

Mornington R1 #6 Chippewa Square $2.10

I thought the trial was fairly average but the jump-out almost a month later was very good. He went to the front and ended up winning the heat in easy fashion over the 1100m, without the jockey asking for an effort. Most of the field behind were under the pump to try and keep up, which included Halcyon Dame, a subsequent last start winner of a benchmark 58 at Ballarat. Barrier 2 looks ideal if he shows the same early-pace and can take up the running, leading with the short Mornington straight should be an advantage. If playing exotics include #2 Orrong Road and #4 Art Major.