Ben’s Best – 9th April 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing

Kilmore R1 #10 Mosscon $3.45

This filly is bursting to win a race. Her first-up run had a few excuses, she was bumped in the early stages and became unbalanced. She then found herself making a run in the middle of the track and only managed to run a distant 4th but the best ground turned out to be on the outside rail. Worth noting, she beat home Special Treats there and that filly has subsequently got very close to running down  Jenni Sox Rox, a filly who I think will turn out to be a smart one. The 2nd up run she only found one better, Miss Leila who did have market support and was expected to go well. There was a big margin back to the 3rd horse Lorne, who has her share of ability. 3rd up here she should be peak fitness and ready to win. #14 Court On, could be the blowout. Jumped out well prior to debut and given time to improve.

Kilmore R2 #8 Steel Choice $10.20

This four-year-old gelding looks to have come back in good order this preparation. In the first jump-out at Mornington he kept up with two quality sprinters, Gift of Power and Santa Ana Lane. The second jump-out was also good, Knowles won the heat, she is a nice filly with a good future ahead, but I thought Steel Choice was strong late, making good ground on Knowles past the winning post. I thought he improved from the first up run and went much better 2nd up, only running out of steam in the concluding stages over the 1200m. Now 3rd up and getting a drop back in distance, he should be fit enough to figure in the finish. I’m including #3 Live Like & #4 Low Level Flying in exotics.

Pakenham R2 #1 Designer Chef $3.55

This guy is my best bet for the day. He looked good in an official trial at Cranbourne back in early March. He made good ground late there in that trial and it featured horses much better than maiden grade, including the winner Hapaira and 2nd placed Vongole. He then looked good at a Cranbourne jump-out, crossing the line with Ocular, a horse who I think could make stakes grade. The debut run was impressive, he took a while to get going but once he knuckled down in the straight, he really motored to the line. The winner Answer Me Hussey had shown ability and had the benefit of a few race-starts under the belt. #7 Kiptanui has ability and could be the danger if he showed up.