Ben’s Best – 3rd April 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

Benalla R5 #4 Mamelon $3.10

This filly from the George Osbourne stable had shown good speed to win a few jump-outs prior to her debut win. The best part of that win at Kyneton was that she was able to show her versatility when she missed the start. Jarrod Fry had no choice than to ride her with a bit of cover before she was able to level up 3 wide under her own steam before they straightened and kick clear for home. She won by 3.25 Lengths, but it could have been a bigger margin with Jarrod Fry putting the whip away late. George Osbourne scratched her from a much stronger race on Wednesday for this and she should be able to handle the step-up to a class 1. #3 Little Mermaid is the danger and very capable of winning a class 1 but bumps into a smart one here.

Canberra R4 #7 Physcoa $8.60

This four-year-old mare has only had the one trial and it was all the way back in September last year. Fair to say it was a very quiet trial. Damon Budler never asked her for an effort and she went to the line untested against multiple horses who have already proved better than maiden grade. The winner of the trial Major Danger was a winner of a class 2 Highway race two starts prior to that trial. The 2nd placed horse Lolita Gold subsequently won a benchmark 65 and 70 race. The slight concern is the time since the trial, but she has had plenty of time to improve and may just allow her to go up bigger odds.

Cranbourne R6 #5 Southern Native $3.65

I didn’t think it would take three starts for this gelding to break his maiden, but he finally did. He won with a bit of style at Bairnsdale, putting a gap on his rivals late to win by 2.75 lengths. This is obviously a step-up to benchmark 64 grade, but he meets an even bunch that look to have reached their limit and this guy looks to have some improvement to come. Being a son of Adelaide, breeding would suggest the rise in distance to the 1300m shouldn’t be a concern.