Ben’s Best – 2nd April 2020

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Form analyst Ben Beare gives his daily bets for Sportsbetting.com.au. Follow him on Twitter.

Odds are correct on Sportsbetting.com.au at the time of publishing.

Pakenham R1 #7 It’s True $1.90

This three-year-old filly has been to the jump-outs twice now and looks to have some ability. The first jump-out at Caulfield she was given a very quiet time at the rear, not even in the picture for majority of the vision. The second jump-out she sat in a more forward position and looked to move with a bit of style, crossing the line with Sensitivity, a galloper that has already won a maiden. Following in-behind was Cosmic Rhapsody, he was competitive in benchmark  75 grade at his latest race-day appearance. Mark Zahra jumps aboard, which shows intent that this is a winnable target and I find John Sadler’s runners often race better than they jump-out.

Pakenham R8 #1 Sovereign Legend $3.05

Another John Sadler runner so let’s hope he and Mark Zahra can make this a double for the night. This son of Written Tycoon could not have been more impressive when winning on debut at Moonee Valley. Although it was a maiden race, those night meetings in town can usually attract strong fields with good form lines. Not everything went his way either. He was slow to begin and Linda Meech had some traffic to deal with once he tacked on to the field but once he got to the outside in the straight he was to strong, finishing with the fastest last 400m of the race. This doesn’t look a strong class 1 to me and if he repeats that performance here, he looks the winner.

Gosford R1 #2 Fat Gecko $4.65

This Danielle Seib trained gelding first went into the black book back in October last year.  He ran 2nd in the trial at Goulburn and was competitive against Don’t Give A Damn, who subsequently won a benchmark 94 three starts later. Back in 4th position was Southern Appeal, he has since turned out to be a promising gelding, winning a class 2, two starts ago by 3.3 Lengths with something in hand. He has returned with a trial win, following a big break between trials which suggest he may have a few niggles. The inside draw should give him a chance though to take up the running and prove hard to catch with the short Gosford straight. The main danger is #4 Kyo, who trialled up well prior to the debut and did a bit of work early before being run down late. Has the advantage of the run under the belt.