Rail Position: True
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Great to see an Everest Day, or any Sydney feature for that matter on a genuine Good track. Should be no disadvantage to be on speed but all horses should get a chance off an even tempo. Keep an eye on the wind as it is currently projected as a headwind in the straight which if strong, can mean getting cover and presenting late has some advantage.
Postcode did enough on debut, any improvement will make him very hard to beat. The Vancouver colt strikes a group of horses who, to my eye, didn’t trial as well as the bunch he faced in the Breeders Plate. Expecting red figures in the early market.
Angel Of Heaven is now fit and maps midfield in a very winnable race here. Humbolt Current her obvious danger but looks like he doesn’t have much more to give ratings wise. Johnny Vinko short enough in early market.
Verdict: Angel Of Heaven
Burning Crown top rater despite drawing barrier 13 here. Should roll forward and try to make his own luck. Gumshoe is fresh but has good first-up stats. Bowman booked is a plus. Irish Songs a decent roughie on the freshen can bounce back.
Verdict: Burning Crown
Potential speed battle here with plenty of capable frontrunners. Charleise can lead but likely just drops in behind the speed I think – M Zahra a good booking. Akari steps out to 1400m for the first time. Avon River will want speed on and some luck in running to weave through.
Huge field for the Kosciuszko and it should be a great race but it is hard to miss the favourite Victorem. Comes down to price and where you map him probably decides that. I can see Noble Boy settling a pair or too closer which may be the difference. Awesome Pluck a good roughie.
Verdict: Noble Boy
Brutal is a machine and I think he will win this and then go on and win the Golden Eagle such is his talent. He can lead here or just drop in behind the speed. I don’t think it will matter and even a ‘flat’ run he is capable of still winning. Wide draw a concern for Deprive who spots a start as will Brave Song who the big teams love. Home Of The Brave stuck on well last start and will run well again.
Cracking sprint race with some of the highest rated 5 and 6 furlong horses in the world taking part. Speed from Nature Strip and Ten Sovereigns. Redzel and Sunlight probably behind them. Pierata and Arcadia Queen will work to ‘hold’ a spot from the low draws. The latter is a freak on the way up but I think she is a more dominant 1400m horse. Pierata sets up perfectly for this, top pick. Ten Sovereigns is a good tough on speed bully who if he repeats that Newmarket 1200m figure will be in the finish.
Verdict: Pierata WIN Ten Sovereigns EW
A forgotten race on a fat day of racing. We know Happy Clapper just goes better in NSW for whatever reason. More dynamic over a mile but in his old age perhaps touch more dour. Samadoubt and Stampede the likely leaders. Samadoubt looks hard to beat here. Hard fit and on speed.
A little tricky here with a few in the Caulfield Cup field (including emergencies) so I would advise against getting involved in the early market. Not giving up on Neufbosc if he goes here and is big odds. Hush Writer will appreciate a dry track favouring the on-speed type horses. Gallic Chieftain prefers sting out to produce his absolute best but a live hope still. Come Play With Me also better sting out I think and is up in weight. Where does that leave us? Carzoff a decent roughie but Youngstar is the one we like here at big odds. Hard fit, low draw and Bowman on.
If you could guarantee that Cascadian jumps well I would be almost chips in here but I can’t get ‘last the fence’ out of my head given his recent bad habits. On top but tempering confidence. Dealmaker broke through last time, will go well again. Junipal going well and a big chance here. Expect Penske is firm in the market if any on-pace bias occurs early on.