Racepal Caulfield Preview – 19th October 2019 – CAULFIELD CUP DAY

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Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Overcast

Track played great on Guineas day and I expect it will again on Saturday. A bit of wear and tear on the rail will see them slowly get off the fence but overall, track is arguably Australia’s best to bet on.

Race 1

Not the most inspiring way to start Caulfield Cup day. Potential speed from out wide makes the map a little tricky. Jenkins ran well fresh and has some upside. Starcaster may face a task with the map. Vigere needs to either lead or get cover to figure from the wide draw.

Verdict: Jenkins

Race 2

Night Express has only one start but showed enough to suggest she can progress through grades. Pretty Brazen is top rater here after a nice win at Bendigo but draws a sticky gate. Splendorinthegrass getting to 1400m helps. Being a So You Think filly she will relish that extra ground.

Verdict: Splendorinthegrass

Race 3

Hilo back in grade and with a soft gate should figure here. Heirborn is somewhat airborne winning his only two starts. Little freshen before this and he has drawn wide. Looks a bit short early on.

Verdict: Hilo

Race 4

Colts and geldings who are Derby bound here. I am not convinced we have seen anything that would have Mark Newnham and Shadow Hero worried as of yet. Warning looked a new horse in blinkers. Power Scheme was super fresh then fancy has a little flat run last start. 2000m suits, should go well here. Miami Bound no major knock but looks short enough right now.

Verdict: Power Scheme EW

Race 5

Even little race. Miss Iano might go up a decent roughie. She is often underrated. Prophet’s Thumb drawn in a sticky spot but she is class. Soothing and Demerara short enough from Team Blue. Humma Humma the roughie if they are swooping down the middle.

Verdict: Humma Humma EW

Race 6

One of the traditional VRC Oaks lead in races. Otherwise known as the second last chance some of these horses have of winning a race in their life. Song Brocade is $126 which is surprising. Looks a genuine staying type and with enough speed here can be a blowout. Celestial Falls top pick for a smart stable. Hard to split Snapdancer and Vegas Jewel but both look short enough around that $5.50 mark early.

Verdict: Song Brocade EW

Race 7

It is a B-grade sprint (maybe generous) but it is a good little race! Crystal Dreamer flies around here and freshened up for what looks like a nice race. Miss Leonidas drops in grade again, time to show up. I Am Immortal might be cooked or just colty? Mclaren gets a chance for a ‘scalp’ ona  big day but God Of Thunder looks the one. No weight, will need luck for a run but looks well placed.

Verdict: God Of Thunder

Race 8

Land Of Plenty perhaps the most forgotten Group level horse in Aus? Challenge fresh but is capable. Looking to take on Streets Of Avalon off that tough Toorak. He is a strong horse but will be a task winning off the back of that with 58.5 here. Royal Meeting turns up in the order and he wins this. Smart, lightly raced import who can handle firm ground.

Verdict: Royal Meeting

Race 9

Even Caulfield Cup with enough speed to ensure a decent gallop I hope. Mr Quickie was flat last start and the tempo was totally against. Maps perfect here for big race John. Hartnell will run well but is weighted out of it I think. Mustajeer a bit of a plodder and barrier 16 will mean he needs a genuine tempo to cover ground and win? Finche a little in the same boat. Constantinople looks a Flemington horse to me. Missing him at the price and I’m still not sold on whether he is still on the up or a little cooked. Mer De Glace in the carpark with The Chosen One but both live chances as is Rostropovich who can roll forward from wide gate. Qalifa on quick back-up a blowout.

Verdict: Mr Quickie

Race 10

Even but competitive race to finish the card. Pohutukawa ran super first-up but does face a wide barrier task again here. Fancy she has her stablemate Savatiano covered, though. Baccarat Baby won well in Brisbane and is capable of measuring up in Melbourne although the jockey booking is a worry to me.

Verdict: Pohutukawa