Racepal Caulfield Preview – 12th October 2019

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Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine

Rail True really shakes this up as it isn’t a traditional rail position for the club on big days. They will need to present a Good 4 to keep Racing Victoria happy which I think they are worried about. Officially on bias watch and the next 48 hours will be crucial to follow news and get all the track info you can.

Race 1

The Maher/Eustace team have an obvious opinion of The Big Easy and on his home deck he looks a cracking chance to kick things off on Guineas day. Rock Of Cryptonite has looked stylish in two jump-outs, the stable (Price and Kent) are one batting, though!

Verdict: The Big Easy

Race 2

Competitive race albeit no superstars engaged here. Waging War looks to be top pick as the map is so sweet and it would be great to see Raquel get a winner in Melbourne on Saturday. Vassilator be a good roughie dropping back in distance if they went forward. Market might tell the story there! Renewal a potential to have a semi flat run second-up after a hot trial and good win fresh. Leading chance, though.

Verdict: Waging War

Race 3

Loving Gaby was fat first-up and she bolted in. She looked super healthy though and in for a huge prep. She is a chance at a flat run here but if she is anywhere near her best she just wins and goes on to big races Cup week. Anaheed perhaps the forgotten runner at each-way odds drops back to a 1200m which looks to suit, maps well and good Caulfield jockey jumps on.

Verdict: Loving Gaby

Race 4

Meryl looks to be flying this prep and I think the early price is good. She probably gets the leaders back from Gate 2. Embrace Me is going better than the raw form guide would suggest. What Hugh Bowman does from barrier 12 on Manicure will be an important factor in deciding this race.

Verdict: Meryl

Race 5

Plenty of angles here! Really fun race but you have to remember they will not all be ‘here to win’. Steel Prince I severely doubt can win the Melbourne Cup but if he is wound up here given his base can figure. Qafila is the one I really like here at big odds. Out to the distance range she peaked at in Adelaide and low draw should mean settles in first few. At the odds happy to take a look at the Europeans. Hang Man and The Chosen One can figure.

Verdict: Qafila each-way

Race 6

I will be surprised if on Grand Final day from a low draw if Flit settles too far back here. She looks the obvious winner and it just comes down to price. Lyre has a good big game trainer in her corner but the 1600m is the obvious risk. She will not want them to go too hard in front. Missile Mantra possibly the opposite of her. Southbank maps well and at near on 20-1 looks a decent value overlay for multiples.

Verdict: Flit

Race 7

Great race that looks to be a bit forgotten on a fat card with lots of other storylines floating around. Avilius is the best 2000m horse in Australia on exposed form. Expect he shows that on Saturday but the track pattern early will be a factor. Dancetaria is a big watch but I really think he will thrive at Flemington and if he runs well in the Cox Plate is one to watch in the Mackinnon. Homesman comes from a weakish Underwood but did run very well and cover ground. He is a few lengths off the best of Avilius, though. Harlem gets to best distance but prefers Flemington. Prefer Humidor at big odds if had to pick a roughie.

Verdict: Avilius

Race 8

The reports from Caulfield are red hot in favour of Dalasan but the draw adds some intrigue doesn’t it. If they roll forward it will make for a great race. Alligator Blood is still untapped and handled Caulfield better than expected last start. Makes own luck and should ensure good tempo. Express Pass the one at odds as highlighted in ONES TO WATCH. Super Seth no knock but this assignment may have come a prep too soon. Same could be said for Express Pass but he looks a little more untapped.

Verdict: Express Pass each-way

Race 9

Good race although not overflowing with quality. Good betting proposition which is all that matters to us! Night’s Watch goes in on top here. Perfect set-up dropping from WFA with a 1600m run under the belt. James McDonald jumps on, maps midfield one off the fence on a predicted decent tempo. Amphitrite isn’t overly well in at the weights but if she can stay in touch can unleash late. Waging War a blowout if he gets a run. Widgee Turf will run well again also.

Verdict: Night’s Watch

Race 10

Wow what a way to finish the day! 1100m sprints at Caulfield are rather iconic. Ball Of Muscle eats them for breakfast normally. Prefer Faatinah when he is fresh and at 1000m. The Bostonian gets the cheap run on the fence but may need some luck. Trekking the obvious although I would prefer him at 1200m. Expect he is wound up to get the Everest slot, though. Bons Away is FLYING this prep but $5 is too short.

Verdict: Trekking