Racepal Flemington Preview – 5th October 2019

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Rail Position: Out 9m Entire Circuit
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine

Race 1

Small field as the babies go around. Deep Speed has looked slick in the trials and we know how good that progeny has hit the ground. Divine Caprice did enough on debut and that effort rated really well. Mildred the yardstick there also in the market.

Verdict:  Deep Speed

Race 2

Cascadian accepted but won’t be here. Lucky for the rest 🙂 Fastnet Tempest is a funny horse who can find his form patch randomly. Third-up, 1400m and Flemington suit. A roughie! Violate is a good fresh horse who had a nice jump out recently. Music Bay on the freshen is a worry. Perhaps a run short. Debt Agent is a risk giving them weight fresh but a nice horse.

Verdict: Violate

Race 3

A good B-grade 3YO sprinters race this. The top three will likely try and press on to a Coolmore. Brooklyn Hustle is the runner to watch here. She has the ability to blow them away fresh. Loved her recent trial. Sebrakate has fitness on his side, I don’t love the low draw for him though. Taraayef the other that interests drawn out that will be stalking the speed.

Verdict:  Brooklyn Hustle

Race 4

Huge fan of Pohutukawa but I think she is at least a run short of her peak. Fidelia smashed in early betting looks short enough now. Eases a touch in the market up until Saturday I think. Spanish Whisper is class and should keep getting better. Savatiano has a nice turn of foot and a good record fresh. Looks well placed.

Verdict:  Savatiano

Race 5

Sort of the B-path to a Derby or Geelong Classic this race. Quality isn’t overly strong! Olympic Oath a really good roughie here. Prefer more stake the place, though. Adelaide Ace lightly raced and will keep stepping nicely but likely spots them a bit of a start here. The Lifeline one of the better chances that will be on pace.

Verdict:  Adelaide Ace

Race 6

Clearly Sunlight and Santa Ana Lane are the two best horses here and clearly both are being set at the Everest in a few weeks. Class should see them through, though. Sunlight is tough, relishes a fight and we saw last week she did her best work late. Proven 1200m straight track performer. Santa Ana Lane normally needs a blow out run. Has been in work a long while but surprised he went up shorter than the filly. Zoutori best of the rest.

Verdict:  Sunlight

Race 7

Mystic Journey out to 2000m adds some intrigue. I’m not convinced she is a 2000m horse but I would say don’t pen her off this run given she is presenting a bit vulnerable and it isn’t Grand Final day. Hartnell is honest, quick back-up probably suits and he maps so well. Kings Will Dream gets the smother run and should hit the line strong. Mr Quickie gets his chance at a rather soft Group 1 in Melbourne. There will be some layers with that map, though.

Verdict:  Mr Quickie

Race 8

Win and you’re into the Melbourne Cup so you would imagine there is some intent from most of them. King Of Leogrance is a horse who could use some intent… Supernova is really untapped, is it all a bit too soon for him though? Would need big odds to spec. Surprise Baby might be trained by the most underrated horseman in Australia. This is the race they want and need to win. Maps well. Go time.

Verdict:  Surprise Baby

Race 9

Looks like a funny speed map with a bit of a mexican stand off for the lead expected. Like the run that Miami Bound figures to get on the rail. With not a heap of speed engaged I think Oliver can stay in the first six in the run. Subpoenaed gets a long way back most likely. Will need some speed to produce her best.

Verdict: Miami Bound