Rail Position: Out 4m 600m – 1600m, True Remainder
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Smoke Bomb the likely leader. He trialled ok before a plugging type debut on pace. Step in trip helps, not sure he is the most talented cat in the barn, though. Atame gets the right run stalking the speed but needs to improve from an average run fresh. Translator drops in class albeit starting $31 at Caulfield. Has to be top pick here.
Seven runners of the 15 acceptors are either first-up or debuting. Tough one to price! Sandsation did enough at Geelong I thought when running second and this is unlikely to be much tougher. Map is a little sticky but it must be a leading chance. Expect Monetizing goes better stepping out in trip and with race experience. Norah hasn’t shown much at the trials, Crowned Monarch has looked ok.
Ruuca down from Queensland for the Edmonds team should measure up here. Debut win on a heavy track was very good and I thought was a complete forgive when running third first-up this prep at Eagle Farm. Viking Warrior resumes off a big break. Did enough in first prep to suggest he can get beyond this grade. Invincible Lotus looks short enough in the early betting.
Ciccolallo looks fit now and has no excuse but to run well in this grade now with the 2000m run already under the belt. Firmer track a likely positive also. Prefer Savvy Boy on a wet track. Eurosymbol looks fairly limited on what we have seen so far. That leaves Shakespear who drops from an open class race at Flemington last Wednesday. Get the feeling 2000m will suit.
A race in three so say the market and the early ratings system. Aree Al has to overcome a difficult map here. His win on debut was superb but I do note that both starts have been on soft going so far. Up to 1400m shouldn’t be an issue, though. Stay Gold gets weight relief on him but will need it. She probably leads. Fascino looks really untapped. Second go 1400m suits as well, like this setup for it.
Busy speed expected here from 2,12,11 and 3 at least. Splendoronthegrass was a forgive run first up. Breeding suggests 1200m will suit her more but she will likely be better third and fourth up. Rapidora will go back with her but is capable of running the number here fresh. Will need a good ride but right in it. Zabelarina coming off a peak looks one to take on from the low draw.
Sam’s Image leads them up then any number can do the chasing work. What to make of Chicago Cub? Should still be on the way up and feel 1100m suits. Marcel From Madrid went enormous fresh in the winter before being tipped out for a spell. With an astute camp. Huge watch!
Verdict: Can’t split Chicago Cub and Marcel From Madrid
British Isle and Pressure the ones who can get control of the speed here. The latter has proven to be a decent fresh performer and looks well in here. Zachaz brings Kiwi form that is good enough. Sticky map though. Rock The Drum been up a while now. Not sure there is much more improvement.