Date: 25 September
Rail: +14m entire course
Weather: Cloudy, chance light showers
Track Condition: Good 4
Track Expectations: Cool weather and potential drizzle leading up to race day means things shouldn’t get firmer than a Good 4. The +14m rail may make leading/inside on the circle more favourable, but most runners will still get their chance.
Full field of unraced runners down the straight makes this a tricky affair. Cut It Out was pushed out for a smart trial win on a heavy 10 recently while Sundus also made an impression in a jumpout win last Friday.
Defiant Dancer should look to roll forward from the wide gate and give a sight but this is tougher than the last-start Adelaide maiden win. Soul Patch can be a major contender here second up from a better gate while Stand To Attention can make an impression if he finds room in the straight.
Open affair and potential for plenty of speed, which may make things tough for front-runner Scramjet from the carpark. Cuban Toonite draws kindly and may sit just off pace in a striking position. Look for fellow last-start winners Yeldarb and Abyssinian to be swooping home.
Dane Clipper dominated a maiden on debut but there may be more pressure up front here, especially with Sisstar also in the line up. Varda is the class of the field and can improve on a big first up effort after being slowly away. Don’t dismiss Mockery who is hard fit and won down the straight before.
Doesn’t look to be a whole heap of pace on paper so Ian should be able to lead comfortably. The straight is an unknown for a few but not Causeway Girl who has performed here in stakes grade. Ruban Bleu and Got The Moves also have form down the straight while Rich Itch is suited back to 1100m.
A ticket to the Oaks up for grabs here. Mandarra and Ocean Miss look to control this on the pace – the former has placed here at this trip before. The trip is a query for both Celestial Falls and Gamay but on recent figures they are the pair to beat.
The Derby trial looks harder to unpack. Few punters missed Olympic Oath running on at The Valley, but El Guerrouj may be hard to reel in if allowed to roll along in front like last start. Brilliant Venture is bred to stay and Adelaide Ace must be watched arriving from WA with a plan.
A real lack of speed in this one and Bianco Nuovo may be left alone in front, he’d be hard to catch if so. Divanation always runs well but won’t want to get shuffled back off a slow tempo while Secret Vega made a sustained run to win second up.