Date: 21st September
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Track Expectations: How much more rain does Sydney have in store? The track should dry out, how much is still up in the air. Expecting somewhere around a Soft 6 or 7 at this stage which will test the fitness of some runners resuming or early on in their preps.
Ones to watch:
- Osborne Bulls – The Bull returns and this preparation it looks like they have a proper plan in place for him to deliver SPEED. The Autumn drew out too long and in our opinion, took some zip out of his legs. This preparation he looks ideally positioned to have a blowout fresh over 1000m on Saturday and leapfrog into an Everest and be a leading contender. James McDonald jumps on with Hugh Bowman still not over his injury – expect he will be ridden fairly cold and let just build through his gears to peak for the Everest. Sting out of the track suits him.
- Kolding – This bloke is really well placed here in a race just below the top level. He is also nominated for Newcastle on Friday and is certainly ready to win that race as well! His first up effort behind Dreamforce was class on a track that didn’t suit. He will be fitter for that run and sets up to run a career peak whether it is on Friday or Saturday. Really promising horse in for a good prep if they can place him well.
Major Danger won a trial recently and resumes in a winnable race. Has won on soft before and gets the gun jockey booking (despite James McDonald’s poor recent city form). Irish Songs faces a tough map and gives them weight on a testing track.
Extreme Bliss is also nominated in Melbourne. This is winnable for her at decent odds. Cuba goes good on the soft, makes own luck on speed and is consistent. Very hard to knock him here.
Junipal really well placed and Mark Zahra comes up for the ride from Melbourne (in town to ride Santa later). Great wet track form and a promising horse Junipal. Dealmaker is a tease while Master Of Wine has strong form lines and maps really well here.
Expect Flit settles closer from her low draw in an effort to test Libertini here. The latter is an upcoming star who was perhaps a touch flat second-up but still did enough. Really hard to see them beating her unless Tommy Berry spots the leaders too much of a start.
Cascadian is a proper talent who trialled like a rocket last week. Kolding is a horse who still looks untapped, loved his run fresh. Avantage and Star Of The Seas both have good wet track form. Cracking race!
Absolutely red hot race. There are plenty that can handle the wet tracks too. Pierata was a real eye-catcher last start on a track that really suited leaders. I expect Saturday to be more ‘fair’ and therefore he is near top pick. Osborne Bulls is a beast who will set a new peak this prep, Redzel rock solid and handles wet tracks while Santa Ana Lane I think will be a better betting proposition 2nd or 3rd up.
Good race but another Group 1 with the same horses? Give me a break. I think they will turn the results on Samadoubt this time, just. Sting out suits Happy Clapper and Avilius and at current prices you could actually back both. Dreamforce went super for Nash fresh but should face more pressure here.
Lots of European bred or raced stayers in this field and most have decent soft track form. Finche looks really short in the early betting here. Really even race. Girl Tuesday on a Metrop path and Supernova is a really talented galloper who has Group ability. Expect a good showing on Saturday.
Roheryn looks well placed here. Will get back and be storming down the middle of the track into the old Randwick ‘lanes’. Greyworm being drawn wide may not be a disadvantage as the track chops out. Prophet Thumb’s best is good enough – not sure what to make of fresh run, though.