Racepal Rosehill Preview – 14th September 2019

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Date: 14th Sep
Rail: +6m entire
Weather: Fine
Track Condition: Good 4
Track Expectations: Fine conditions expected in the lead up with some winds so the track will be dry. One thing to watch is the direction of the wind if it gets above 25km on Saturday as the forecast suggests could possibly happen. Randwick last week was a great example of a tailwind in the straight helping leaders.

For the latest odds, click here.

Key runners and ones to watch:

  • Dabiyr lightly raced Redoute’s Choice gelding who started his career in Ireland for Dermott Weld. He showed his true ability when getting out beyond 2000m last start with a dominant win at Moonee Valley that showed all the signs that there is plenty more improvement to come. Very promising horse who gets James McDonald’s services for Saturday.
  • Arcadia Queen this Pierro mare has only lost once in six career starts and has won from 1200m up to 1800m already such is her versatility. She is being trained more for speed this prep so you would expect she is pretty well good to go on Saturday. She did do her best work over a mile and beyond last spring and it remains to be seen whether she can ping with the Everest elite in a few weeks.
  • Castelvecchio promising horse who excelled when getting out to 1400 and 1600m at the back end of his Autumn campaign. No surprise given his sires exploits over 2000m and beyond. Looks to have more upside and does resume at a more suitable distance. Jay Ford a head scratcher jockey booking for mine, though.

Race 1

Highways don’t exactly scream quality day of racing do they. Typically even and open race to start the day. Gem Dealer has some challengers from the gate. Sausedge maps much better and will be improved from the first-up run.

Race 2

Costello back on top of the ground is a big plus here. You would expect Nash to take Shock Alert to the lead, he also prefers dry tracks. As does third pick Humbolt Current who in typical Waller fashion should be ready to fire fourth up with a good jockey on.

Race 3

Potential d-day for Irukanji who will enjoy the firmer track but we don’t love the jockey booking. Been well backed in early markets and maps to sit handy. Adana is a tricky runner to assess. Not in a hurry to be taking the early price given he only fell in last time.

Race 4

Castel Sant’angelo likely leader for a stable and jockey that love controlling races. Up in grade but gets some weight relief, hard fit, too. Dabiyr is on the upward spiral and also gets the advantage of M Walker off, J McDonald on. He has talent way beyond BM78 level.

Race 5

Jay Ford is a really interesting booking for Castelvecchio. The horse is an absolute jet but does give a fitness start to most of his rivals here. He is placed here so well at the weights given he is a Group 1 winner giving male rivals 2kg at worst. Just Thinkin’ will likely be up toward the front and the one the class animal has to reel in. He looks untapped and is rather well bred.

Race 6

Wow wee! What a freaking race. Bivouac back on top of the grade is a bonus but it is hard to see him beating Exceedance unless the latter puts in a bit of a flat run. Yes Yes Yes and Kubrick resume and both have elite talent

Race 7

Great race, all eyes will be on Arcadia Queen who is a proper jet. Versatile and very fast. Trope is obviously going really good as is Baller. Thought Fundamentalist was ready to do something as well. She is much better than one win from 16 starts suggests.

Race 8

Dyslexic maps nicely and looks a good each-way option here. She hit the line nicely fresh! Fasika needs some luck to make the field but is a talent. Mizzy went well fresh but does give Dyslexic some weight back here. Champagne Cuddles trialled up nicely.

Race 9

Miss Fabulas is much better than what she showed in the Autumn. Trial was ok without being amazing I thought. This is much easier than what she has mainly contested in her career thus far. Fasika also accepted in this race and an obvious chance. Legend Of Condor gelded this prep and did enough fresh. Good jockey booking, one to watch!