Meeting: Ladbrokes Park Hillside
Date: 4th September
Rail: +12m entire
Track Condition: Soft 5 (time of writing)
Track Expectations: A little rain around on Wednesday but dry weather Monday and Tuesday leading in so the track shouldn’t get too chopped up. The real interesting point is the rail being out in the 12 metre position. That’s an element of variability that is tricky to properly weigh up. The deeper the track gets into the ‘soft’ range, the more the potential for outside fence being the place to be. Working to a pretty fair track, though.
Key runners and ones to watch:
- Tony Nicconi This horse has had a bit of a fall from grace. He was starting to single figures in stakes races less than 12 months ago and now finds himself racing on a Wednesday. He does look the typical early 3YO bully that fades out but he is placed in a soft race here with the full 3KG claim on. D-Day to show something beyond a ‘fair’ effort.
- Tarwin lightly raced horse who has shown promise winning three of his four starts. They have been patient with him and being the progeny of Americain expect this preparation he gets out to at least 2000m. Untapped horse, follow!
- Chicago Bull Horse has big wraps on him. He has had a few preps and then been tipped out to the paddock again suggesting that the owners are patient as trainers have told them there is a bit under the hood. His work leading in to this first-up assignment suggests exactly that. He looks to have filled out into a proper beast, as well.
#12 Reluctant did enough at Bendigo to suggest a peak run wasn’t far away. The worry is Michael Walker from that wide draw taking him too far back. #9 Holster was a 240k yearling purchase who has had three trials leading in to his debut run over 1400m. Drawn soft and is a leading chance if he can bring his trial form to the races.
#2 Meteor Light lead them a merry-dance last start and with the rail out he must be a strong chance to do so again. #1 Eckhart will likely be spotting them some ground but closing out late. Even race otherwise, best ride will go close to winning it.
#7 Tavistock Dancer primed and ready to peak for this. Maps well and very hard to see running poorly. #14 Diamond Bow bombed the start last time but ran on well. D Oliver sticks importantly and she is a nice each-way proposition. Both horses third-up and ready to run well.
Helter skelter sprint with the rail out. Who balances up first? #6 Chicago Bull will want a dry track first-up so be careful betting early on him. #7 Wilmot Pass is resuming but maps and rates nicely. In a race with horses resuming, #2 Asateer has fitness on his side and will be on speed. Decent roughie!
#6 Lassiter is a very promising horse. Unfortunately that great win back in June has been noticed by bookies as she has gone up pretty short. #14 Punkzy maps well enough and looks ready to peak while #15 Varda resumes off a big long break for Godolphin. She looks short enough in the early play given I think her best racing will be over further ground. Watch for her closing the race out strongly.
#2 Lake’s Folly back to the races after a freshen up for a very smart training operation with the money man booked to ride. His debut win rated well enough and the horse he beat comfortable that day has gone on to win a stakes race in subsequent months. Really hope #14 Wild Choice gets a start. His maiden win rated well and with D Oliver jumping on, he can measure up in this grade from a tricky draw
Great race! No doubt #2 Tarwin will be holding plenty of market percentage as he resumes. Has the potential to be one of the best early progeny from sire of stayers, Americain. Will he find 1400m a bit too zippy, fresh now he is a furnished 4YO? That’s what you are weighing up if you are taking him on. #12 Jumbo Ozaki gets a nice run here and looks one of the leading chances to topple the spruik horse.
Another decent race to finish. #3 Tony Nicconi needs to aim up here. Expected more from him this preparation. Looking to take on the old stagers in here who have peaked and found their mark. #6 Deep Euphoria is a mare still improving. Last start was a complete forgive, she was two months fresh as well. Confident she will run well here.