LEEG March 7, 2014 No Comments
Bulldogs vs Broncos
No Kassiano and Inu for the Doggies Forget the trial form of the Broncos and Ben Barba hopefully will have a great return to Doggie terriorty I do like the inclusion of Vtdot on the wing for the Broncs He is a powerful man who takes some stopping I dont like the BRONCS for the season but they will win this game
Panthers vs Knights\
The Knights have a great record at Penrith and they do have the best centres in the comp in Gagai and Leilua Penrith have a lot of new faces and not sure about Soward Lets wait a few weeks to see how he goes Tip Knights as good things
Manly vs Storm
No Cooper Cronk for the Storm so how can they beat Manly at Brookvale on a Saturday night?? Manly to win
Cowboys vs Raiders
The Cowboys should win but the Raiders will be no pushovers as they have Papali and Jack Wighton at five eight and this kid can play
You have to tip the Cowboys only just
Dragons vs Tigers
This will be a battle of two ordinary teams with two ordinary coaches…. Dragons for the sake of a tip
Eels vs Warriors
on trial form the Warriors are specials but can they travel…? and have lost Hurrel…. The Eels will come out firing and Jarrod Hayne is the best Fullback going around Its as simple as this If Hayne fires Eels win Tip Eels
Sharks vs Titans
Ive had something on the Sharks for the title so do like the team make up with Fifita leading the way and I do think the Titans are all getting that bit older and slower so we will tip the Sharks
Too early to make good things but at the odds the Knights look a fair bet to me
TRACK CONDITIONS ARE A QUERY.. AND IT MAY WELL BE A DAY TO BE CAREFUL
RACE 7. NO 2 SWEET IDEA 3.00 IS QUITE AN HEROIC FILLY PROVEN IN ALL GOING AND CIRCUMSTANCES. HAS TO FIGURE HERE.
NO 7 ARABIAN GOLD 13.00 IS A GOOD WET RACKER AND WAS CLOSE TO SWEET IDEA, SO THATS THE FORM LINE I LIKE HERE.
NO 10 CHATEAU LAFAITE 7.50 WON 2 IN A ROW BEFORE BEING SPELLED, AND HAS TRIALLED TWICE, SO EXPECT A RUN HERE…
NO 11 MADE TO ORDER 26.00 IS BY COMMANDS AND COULD SNEAK 4TH… IS 60-1 EARLY MARKETS ROUGHIE FOR TRICKS.
2-7-10———-11.1 GUELPH..4.80 TAKING IT ON. POORLY DRAWN AGAIN NO HELP…UNPROVEN IN SLOW OR HEAVY GOING..HAVE TO RISK IT… IF TRACK STAYS WETTISH??
RACE 8. NO 4 CANNY BALLAD 4.60 WAS UNLUCKY WHEN TRAPPED ON INSIDE AND UNABLE TO WIND UP WHEN WAS KEEN TO. GOOSD LOSING RUN. BY CANNY LAD.
NO 5 ENTIRELY PLATINUM 3.60 BOLTED IN BY 3 LENGTHS HERE ON A HEAVY TRACK ..HAWKES AGAIN SO GUARD UP IF YOU WANT TO TAKE HIM ON.. I SAY GO WITH HIM IS EASIER AND MORE REWARDING.
NO 10 KNEAD THE DOUGH 15.00 IS A HEAVY RACK HORSE WHO IS FIT ENUFF TO FIGURE SOME WHERE…IS BIG ODDS FOR TRICKS
NO 1 OUR DESERT WARRIOR 4.60 MAY START TO SHOW SOME THING ABOUT NOW… IMPROVING TRACK REQUIRED.
SO MUCH IS WEATHER RELIANT.. AND WEATHER MEN ARE SO HOPELESS.. SAYING ALL WEEK RAINIS GONNA BE BIG. THEN CHANGING THEIR MINDS…
ACE 7 NO 3 STEEL ZIP 2.80 LOOKS PITCH FORKED IN HERE, AND MUST BE HARD TO BEAT. WON TWICE ON HEAVY, AND NO PLACINGS IN 7 GOES ON SLOW… THE BIG WORRY IF TRACK IMPROVES???
NO 8 BYMONASHEE 3.70 WILL BE THE HORSE TO BEAT.. WILL GET A LOVELY RUN JUST BEHIND PACE.. HARD TO BEAT HERE. great ew bet. place punters should go for it.
NO 10 MATABRAMHA 11.00 LOVES HEAVY TRACKS! FITTER FOR RECENT RACING, ON THR UP.. AND SHOULD RUN WELL HERE. BIG ODDS AVAILABLE.
NO 11 DR DAVID 6.50 HAS FOUND GOOD CONFIDENCE SINCE WINNING TWO AGO, AND NOW GOES FOR THIIRD STRAIGHT WIN..BUT WET TRACK A NULLIFIER I RECKON.IF TRACK IMPROVES SO DO CHANCES AND PRICE SHRINKS…. IF TRACK GETS TO DEAD 4 HIS PRICE COMES INTO 4.50 THE 10 BLOWS OUT ALSO… no 1 LISTEN SON COMES INTO PLAY IF TRACK COMES GOOD!!
RACE 8/. NO 8 TAMBO’S JEWELL 5.00 WON MID WEEK WHEN WELL TRIED AND FACES NOT ANY BETTER COMPANY HERE.
NO 9 ADORABUBBLE 7.00 WAS STUPIDLY RIDDEN LAST START WHEN THEY DECIDED TO LEAD AFTER COMING HOME NICELY PREVIOUSLY.. THIS TIME THEY WILL GO BACK AND THAT MAY SUIT MUCH BETTER!
NO 14 MORE THAN MONEY 5.50 HAS TERRIFIC WET TRACK BREEDING ON BOTH SIDES AND EVEN THO HAS NOT SPARKLED YET.. I CANNOT BELIEVE HE WONT! SHOULD GET A REALLY GOOD RUN MID FIELD BUT ONLY 4 LENGTHS OFF LEADERS..? GOOD CHANCE TO IMPROVE HERE!!
NO 3 JUST A PERALA 7.00 WILL GO FORWARD AND IS FITTER AGAIN FOR 2ND UP WIN IN TOOWWOOOMBA.
NEWMARKET HANDICAP. March 5, 2014 No Comments
1 MOMENT OF CHANGE MARKET PRICE 11.00 MY COMPUTER SAYS 21.00 DROPPING BACK FROM1400 TO THIS 1200. I THINK CANNOT WIN MYSELF. FIGHT ON TYPE OF HORSE WITHOUT EXPLOSIVE PACE REQUIRED THIS. TAKING ON.
2. LANKAN RUPEE 4.60 5.50 WELL WEIGHTED IN SOME WAYS ONLY GOING UP – KILO FROM LIGHTNING. DOES NOT HAVE SENSATIONAL FORM THIS RACK AND DISTANCE, BUT HAS GONE TO A NEW LEVEL SINCE THOSE PREVIOUS ATTEMPTS. LOOKS TO HAVE A GREAT BARRIER TO COME DOWN MIDDLE OF TRACK. CANNOT KNOCK.
3.SAMAREADY 5.00 7.50 THIS IS PET DISTANCE AND 1ST UP RUN WAS SOLID. HER BEST WIN AT MOONEY VALLEY WHEN WAS SENSATIONAL… NOT SURE… PLACE BEST…INCLUDE QUADDY… AS 1200 IS BEST TRIP.
4.SHAMEXPRESS 4.20 6.50 LOVES THIS TRACK AND DISTANCE SO HAVE TO ADMIRE HERE. BIG WEIGHT DROP CONSIDERING ALSO A BIG FACTOR..2- IS A LOT THIS GRADE. TOP JOCKEY.. TRICKY BARRIER THE WORRY.. GATE 3 NOT ALWAYS A BENEFIT DOWN STRAIGHT NOWADAYS.. THATS THE DOUBT, BUT TOP RIDER OLIVER. INCLUDE.
5. FONTELINA 21.00 18.00 EXCELLENT FRESH HORSE WHO I ALWAYS BACK.. AS LONG AS TRACK GOOD OR DEAD I WILL SPECK HIM, AS HE HAS BEEN VERY KIND TO ME. GATE 1?? BUT WILL BE GOOD ODDS
6.SPIRIT OF BOOM 17.00 12.00 BIG RUN IN OAKLEIGH PLATE HAS A GREAT RECORD PLACING HERE, BUT NOT WINNING HERE… SO INCLUDE IN ALL EXOTICS… THOUGH MAYBE NOT TO WIN?? RODD RIDING… SO BETTER INCLUDE IN WINNING CHANCES, AS I HATE GETTING BEATEN BY MICHAEL…
7. GENERAL TRUCE 67.00 101.00 I GIVE HIM NONE… AND SEEING OBAMA IS THE ONLY BLOKE RUNNING AROUND WITH A WHITE FLAG I GIVE EVEN LESS THAN NONE.
8. PAGO ROCK 34.00 31.00 BEEN HITTING LINE VERY WELL. BIG WEIGHT DROP GIVES HIM A KNOCK OUT CHANCE, AND MAYBE A FIRST 4 CHANCE. INCLUDE AS A ROUGHIE. BOTH RUNS BACK HAVE BEEN VERY GOOD.
9. UNPRETENTIOUS 13.00 21.00 WEIGHT DROP HELPS, ROUGHIE FOR 3RD OR 4TH MAYBE. PRETTY HONEST GALLOPER WITH BAD LEGS.
10.KNOYDART 11.00 7.50 BEEN GOING SUPER WELL, AND HAS PAID LATE ENTRY FEE. IS ALSO 17TH STARTER, SO I HAVE TO PUT INTO WIN IN EVERYTHING. SNOWDEN IS A TERRIFIC TRAINER AND IF SAYS PAY UP.. I HAVE TO LISTEN.
11.ALBRECHT 26.00 51.00 NOT ENTHUSED BY ITS 1ST UP RUN. I AM LEAVING OUT.
12. FLAMBERGE 34.00 26.00 VERY GOOD RECORD HERE AND UNBEATEN THIS TRACK AND TRIP! THAT MEANS YOU MUST PUT IN. STING OUT OF TRACK IMPORTANT AS NEVER WON ON A GOOD TRACK!! SO LOOK FOR A DEAD TRACK.. AND THEN INCLUDE. SHOULD FINISH TOP 5 WITH ANY LUCK.
13. MR MILTON..101.00 1000.-1 AS MUCH CHANCE AS MILTON THE MONSTER MAKING A RETURN TO PRIME TIME TV.
14. BERNABEU 17.00 34.00 I TIPPED HIM TO FAIL LAST START AND GOT HATE MAIL.. BUT I WAS RIGHT. BEATEN 12 LENGTHS AS A HEAVILY BACKED 4.80 CHANCE!! I MARKED HIM ABOUT 17.00… THANK ME LATER. I CANT BACK HIM HERE AFTER THAT.. CAN YOU? BUT SHOULD DO BETTER THAN 12 LENGTH LOSS.
15. VA PENSIERO 26.00 34.00 GOOD FRESH HORSE, BUT CERTAINLY TOSSED IN THE OCEAN HERE. HARD TO HAVE REALLY.
MY BETS HERE ARE TRIFECTA .. 2,4,10—2,3,4,5,6,10,12,… OR ADD AND SUBTRACT AS YOU SEE FIT…
RUGBY ROUND 4. March 3, 2014 No Comments
Good game this. Both teams not dissimilar in how they now play the game..both look to attack at all costs… I was disappointed the Brumbies did not score at least 3 more tries last week,… They had enuff ball to do so… But they did improve on the ordinary Reds performance! So with the Brumbies back line moving into gear we can expect some enterprise… But It was ridiculous how quick the ball was that they kept getting from every break down…Not sure that will happen this weekend? Penalties!
Hurricanes travel back from Africa desperate to get their season underway with a win finally… But not sure they will… Maybe the discipline of the Brumbies will count for a bit more.. Speight and Kurindrani might find some space and Mogg can help finish… At least Hurricanes will have their best gear on.. the black and yellow look good…
Brumbies 1-12.. It will be close for sure. Savea is always worth watching also… Peranara Versus V White will be a great watch at 9 ….
The Reds turned up last week V Waratahs in a siege mentality…looking and expecting a telephone booth experience and with the rain around they might have been fair to think that… As the great Paul Twitchell stated :”Every thing in life is based around states of consciousness”.. so while the Reds were looking for trench war fare the Warathas were feeling far more exuberant… and their mind set was “Lets take it to them and run them ragged…”Angels” was the call.. and over the trenches they went in their many… so while the Reds were hanging around in no mans land, the Waratahs were going like rabbits all over the field, and the Reds seemed to watch them from a distance and got flogged…
It should also be stated that Richard Graham got schooled by the Tahs coach… and how I saw more than 1 kick to Israel was astonishing… This lack of understanding of how to play a great player was sheer insanity, and extremely good for the local fans… and tv watchers world wide.
The Cheetahs got stitched up in Melb, and they will get stitched up here as well.. their season looks to be in tatters already..Early season momentum is way better than hoping for a big finish…. after all the soul searching, the papers going crazy at you etc…
Reds should win well.. and surely this time I get the Reds right… I am about due according to the relative stats. Reds 10+
Crusaders V Stormers…
As I have stated many times and enjoyed doing so.. except when I had to viciously admonish the Crusaders for killing animals in hunting bonding… rich blokes hunting is so obscene… and Greg Norman also is disappointing in this mindless and cruel pursuit… Getting up in the morning and going killing is so horrible… The Stormers were hardly all embracing in their first win last week… by one point….and travelling down to a beaten up Crusaders town is hardly enticing… Some how the Crusaders will win. They will dig deep and find a way. I hope they don’t, but I expect they will… I have now seen McCaw fall off two tackles that resulted in tries in recent times.. His body has taken a fair old battering in its time, and now he maybe in “steep” decline… and steep decline will have him back to being a normal tough old footballer, still good, but not great… and he used to be Oh so great!
Force V Rebels
This will be a bitter encounter with lots of scratching and screaming going on.. Both teams fighting to be seen as not the worst team in Australia.. Perception has Rebels slightly stronger.. They were ok last week. Higgenbotham is such a star player..I would make him captain of Australia myself. He is dynamic, uncompromising, and clearly visible… Props and second row captains are so out of date now.. I want to see a big strong power player rampaging and being attacking.. Higgenbotham is that man in my opinion.
The Force did very little to get enthused about V Brumbies… The Rebels may be a little flat emotionally after waiting around for the game .. they missed first two rounds… So Rebels to still win 1-12… I do expect to cover my eyes at some stage during this match….
Bulls V Blues Not a fan of the Bulls and the Blues hit their straps last week when they crippled up the Crusaders and put them right back in their box with a resounding and thoroughly entertaining demolition of the Crusaders coming from 17-3 down to do so… They have big name players in their back line that I rave about each week.,.. and this week they should explode in Africa,…. Blues to win 13+
Sharks V Lions
One sided contest. Sharks will win just like they fought this contest in a sea of murky water…
I expect the Sharks to win by about 18 at least…. Lambie may score 20 points in this match.. Mvovo scores two tries here…. I like him… strong player.
Its time to have a few bets now… Blues to beat Bulls….Crusaders to win….Reds to win…. Go all up these three… and if Sharks are at least 1.20 go for them to get the cherry..